When a football club spends a quarter of a billion dollars on a player’s payroll, like parents Leaders have this year, it’s the same shout to ask.
The team’s investors say, ‘Guys, bring the World Championship Trophy’.
So far, deep into the regular season, Padres has realistically achieved what was expected of them. They’re on about 90 wins, odds makers, analytical systems and a few newspaper writers predicted, even after Fernando Tates Jr. was expected to miss the first four months of the season. The club’s primary drivers, also correctly predicted, were the starting pitchers and Mane Machado. Bob Melvin appears to be the upgrade he was expected to be, as he is respected by vets and greens a six-man course that has paid dividends.
Now, however, Padres has reached the Kilimanjaro stage of the journey.
What does it take to win 13 games in the post-season, bring in $233 million in paychecks (per MLB numbers) and inspire the 19 Tony Gwynn Drive parade?
For starters, they will have to Grab the second or third wildcardWhich means that either the Brewers or the Phillies have been postponed in the last 14 games.
If that happens—and remember, the Padres holds a tiebreaker on Milwaukee, who recently shut down two starting bowlers—post-season clues for the Padres’s former team of the franchise to post 162 can be found. We’re talking about the 2010 Padres, who couldn’t make it to the playoffs but – here’s the catch – capturing all their talent for a 90-win run that still shines like a hallucination.
If the 2022 Padres capped as the 2010 team did, it wouldn’t be easy for anyone. Based on the premise, this team is far more talented than the ticket, and it’s based on this fact: Several Padres players have shown that they can be good or very good in Major League Baseball. And satisfying what baseball quants call “meaningful sample sizes,” many have done for long periods, at some point, in their careers.
Start with Machado.
He could rival the defensive magic of Hall of Fame third baseman Brooks Robinson in several seasons, notably the 1970 World Championship. Take it from Merv Rettenmund, a San Diego treasure who has gone to seven world championships, three with Robinson and the Orioles.
“Manny Brooks reminds me of third,” Rettenmond said. “And this guy can really hit. Everything seems so easy to him. There is no tension there.”
Juan Soto provided a glimpse before three October of what he can do when he hits the ball hard, not just drawing a walk. He’s racked up five home runs in the post-season, totaling 14 RBIs in 17 games.
No team wins the World Championship without beating the top-tier bet.
Soto replaced Justin Verlander (who remains the Houston Astros champ) for the 2019 World Championships. Several other great shooters have written in his home runs: aces Gerrit Cole and Julio Urreas of the Yankees and Dodgers, respectively; current contender for the Cy Young Sandy Alcantara award from Marlins; The Mets co-starred with ace Max Scherzer, Aaron Nola and Zach Wheeler of Philadelphia.
The Padres will need Josh Bell to live up to his career-adjusted OPS, which he defines as 21% above the league average. If Brandon Drury and Jake Kronworth match recent seasons of revamped OPS, the reasonable number of capable hitters on the line-up rises to five, led by Machado and Soto.
Pencil Will Myers and Jorgeson Provar as candidates to become the Six. Rely on excellent defense from the short Ha-Seong Kim.
Requiring a promo crew to hold out doesn’t require any of its mainstays to do something they haven’t. Yu Darvish, Blake Snell, and Joe Musgrove have all closed a number of dangerous formations in their careers.
Josh Hader doesn’t need to jump into the phone booth to change an outfit either. In 11 playoffs, he accumulated 1.88 ERAs and hot averages in WHIP (0.837) and turbulences per nine runs (14.4).
In other words, if the Padres get big offers from the likes of Machado, Soto, Darvish, Snell and Hader, they won’t match the 2010 Padres on the talent-to-achievement scale.
This team with a salary, at $38.6 million, was ranked 29th out of 30 (the current team is sixth).
Returning dollars on pennies, rookie Mat Latos reached a 2.92 ERA in 31 starts while earning a $408,000 salary in what is considered the best season of his nine-year career.
Latos predicted Darvish’s consistent success this year, setting a league record with 15 straight starts of five or more rounds with two or fewer allowed. The record belonged to Hall of Famer Greg Maddux (1993-1994) and former Astros ace Mike Scott before Latos closed the Dodgers, in early September, to keep the Padres in pole position.
Following the lead of the 22-year-old, the rotation provided a value beyond her collective income. For the first time in the team’s history, five bowlers – Latus, Richard Clayton, John Garland, Wade LeBlanc and Kevin Correa – made at least 25 starts. Swingman Tim Stauffer, who had his best 10 seasons in the big league, providing examples of why he finished fourth in the 2003 draft, scored a 1.85 ERA.
Adrian Gonzalez, the lone star in crime, has had Adrian Gonzalez’s season, vastly outperforming his $4.75 million salary. Unwilling to pay the market price for him, the Padres swapped out Chula Vista and Tijuana for the season-by-season Red Sox.
Of all the drivers of the team’s success, the Bulls offered the most horsepower. Led by coach Daryl Ackerfields, the unit delivered a favorable six-month series of matches. Closer Heath Bell scored a career best 1.93 ERA and hit 47 times. Mike Adams, who scored a 1.76 ERA and a low home run average, threw fast cut balls that would make Mariano Rivera proud. Joe Thatcher and Edward Mujica published the best WHIPs, 857 and 0.933, from Long Careers.
Come in and get hot. These are the two steps the current Padres has to follow, and the recent blast from 2010 serves as an inspiration. The 2010 World Series winner was the same team that paid $38.6 million Padres to Game 162, the San Francisco Giants.