Best bets as of Monday, featuring Astros vs. Rice, Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers (September 19)

The MLB season continues to wind down, and a new week begins with nine games on Monday, including some key matches with post-season effects.

Our analyst is working on two of these games, including a potential post-season preview in Astros against. raysAnd the NL West meeting between Diamondbacks And the Dodgers.

Here’s your best bet from Major League Baseball’s Monday slate.

MLB Odds and Choices

Click on a game to skip ahead
Astros vs. Rice 6:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers 10:10 PM ET

Astros vs. Rice

pick or pick Radiology team total over 3.5 (+108)
the book BetRivers
jugs Luis Garcia vs. Luis Garcia Drew Rasmussen
the first show 6:40 PM ET

DJ James: The Tampa Bay Rays face the Houston Astros in a possible harbinger of American League playoffs. Luis Garcia will go to the Astros against Rays’ Drew Rasmussen.

Tampa Bay has 108 WRC+ Out of the right hand pitchers in the last month. This is the tenth best in MLB. They also go out less than 20% of the time in that time period.

Garcia has had a difficult experience lately. Even with a solid outing in his last two appearances, he has a 4.70 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in the second half. He certainly wasn’t so lucky with a 4.04 ERA overall against the 3.52 xERA, but Rays hit the right well enough that this could be another bad outing for García.

Yandy Díaz and Jonathan Aranda have both owned .350+ xwOBAs in the past month. Much of the rest of the group owns xwOBA over 0.300, so that at least means they can roll out hard-board looks.

Díaz and Ji-Man Choi have over 400 xwOBAs, and Harold Ramírez and Isaac Paredes have been above 0.360 in the past week.

They have artillery to challenge the struggling Garcia. Take Team Rise the total More than 3.5 (+108) to 4 (-130).

«Back to Table of Contents»

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers

pick or pick Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
the book kings
jugs Meryl Kelly vs. Clayton Kershaw
the first show 10:10 PM ET

Jules Posner: Meryl Kelly is a great story and a good pitcher, but the Dodgers were kryptonite. This season, Kelly has been eliminated for 8.50 PM with 6.05 FIP and 4.73 xFIP against dodgers.

The Dodgers offense has also been rolling in at home this season, but over the past two weeks, they’ve posted a 130 WRC+ against RHP at home. Even if they rest a few beginners, they are simply too deep.

Clayton Kershaw takes the hill for the Dodgers and has been solid this season as well. Kershaw posted 2.85 ERA, 2.37 FIP and 2.38 xFIP at home. Surprisingly, he has been a poor performer in his home peripherals this season.

Additionally, the Diamondbacks have struggled against the LHP on the road for the past month. They have a relatively left-handed lineup and their right-handed platoon options are not very effective.

Also, the Diamondbacks’ bulls have had peaks and valleys this season. They are currently in the crater of a volcano.

The Dodgers have a huge advantage in this confrontation, and since Kelly’s value is being exaggerated, the Dodgers running line It opened around -115 and stayed there all night. The Dodgers’ running line should be a -130 play.

«Back to Table of Contents»

How do you rate this article?